Friday, April 13, 2029·Mostly a Meme·Upcoming

Asteroid 99942 Apophis close approach — 13 April 2029

Claimant
NASA / ESA (event) vs. viral discourse (framing) (Scientific institution)
Current status
Close approach only. NASA has ruled out any impact for the 2029 pass and for the next 100+ years.

What was predicted

01

That asteroid 99942 Apophis will pass within roughly 32,000 km of Earth on 13 April 2029 — closer than geostationary satellites.

Apophis will pass within about 32,000 km of Earth on 13 April 2029 — closer than geostationary satellites. NASA has ruled out impact for this and future passes; the 'end-of-world' framing is internet folklore.

Who made the claim

02

NASA / ESA (event) vs. viral discourse (framing) scientific institution.

How the claim spread

03

Every few years a screenshot of an old risk-tracker page recirculates on social media without context, and the close approach is misreported as an impact. The event itself is genuinely notable — it will be naked-eye visible from parts of Europe and Africa.

WHY IT RESONATEDThe event is genuine and well-documented; social media reliably re-frames the close approach as an impact each time it resurfaces.

What is on the record so far

04

As of the most recent NASA JPL analysis, Apophis is removed from the impact risk tables for at least the next 100 years. The 2029 flyby will be used as a rare scientific opportunity to study a large near-Earth asteroid up close.

Why the prediction was unreliable

05

The doomsday framing conflates 'close by astronomical standards' with 'impact'. NASA JPL, ESA's Planetary Defence Office, and the Minor Planet Center all publish the trajectory openly; none forecast impact.

Sources

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Related predictions

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Return to Predictions Calendar

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