Asteroid 99942 Apophis close approach — 13 April 2029
- Claimant
- NASA / ESA (event) vs. viral discourse (framing) (Scientific institution)
- Current status
- Close approach only. NASA has ruled out any impact for the 2029 pass and for the next 100+ years.
What was predicted
01That asteroid 99942 Apophis will pass within roughly 32,000 km of Earth on 13 April 2029 — closer than geostationary satellites.
Apophis will pass within about 32,000 km of Earth on 13 April 2029 — closer than geostationary satellites. NASA has ruled out impact for this and future passes; the 'end-of-world' framing is internet folklore.
Who made the claim
02NASA / ESA (event) vs. viral discourse (framing) — scientific institution.
How the claim spread
03Every few years a screenshot of an old risk-tracker page recirculates on social media without context, and the close approach is misreported as an impact. The event itself is genuinely notable — it will be naked-eye visible from parts of Europe and Africa.
WHY IT RESONATEDThe event is genuine and well-documented; social media reliably re-frames the close approach as an impact each time it resurfaces.
What is on the record so far
04As of the most recent NASA JPL analysis, Apophis is removed from the impact risk tables for at least the next 100 years. The 2029 flyby will be used as a rare scientific opportunity to study a large near-Earth asteroid up close.
Why the prediction was unreliable
05The doomsday framing conflates 'close by astronomical standards' with 'impact'. NASA JPL, ESA's Planetary Defence Office, and the Minor Planet Center all publish the trajectory openly; none forecast impact.
Sources
06- NASA — ApophisScientific institution
- ESA — Apophis close approachScientific institution
- NASA JPL — Earth safe from Apophis for 100+ yearsScientific institution
Related predictions
07Return to Predictions Calendar
08Browse every dated entry on record — end of the world predictions by year, from historical failed apocalypses to upcoming doomsday dates.